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If everyone makes 500 jumps a year, and "newbie" means under 100 jumps, and the typical career of a jumper lasts 20 years - then there will always be 100 times more experienced jumpers than newbies. So you'd expect experienced jumpers to be involved in incidents 100 times more often than newbies if everything else was equal. If they only got hurt 10 times as often, that would indicate experienced jumpers were much _safer_ (on a jump-by-jump basis) than newbies.
If that was true the uspa would be cuming in there pants
Track high, Pull LOW!!!
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To be current means you jump a lot, and jumping a lot means you may well be at increased total exposure to risk, even if the risk goes down for each jump.
That makes absolute sense for a particular jumper, but it doesn't necessarily explain why so many incidents are experienced jumpers rather than newbies? Unless say the # of D-licence jumpers far outweighs the # of As (as a very rough proxy)?
Because as he said, the total risk is higher. 1/2 the risk per jump with 5 times as many jumps translates roughly to 2.5 times the change of an accident.
Or put more bluntly, this isn't golf.
Ron 10
QuoteWe keep on hearing a focus on how important currency is for safety, and obviously it is, but... there's clearly something missing. Do people who are highly current get a false sense of safety
Most likely some of that.
QuoteDo they get tempted to push their boundaries more because they jump so often?
I would think so.
QuoteDo they take less time with gear checks, etc than less current people
Don't think so.
QuoteWe keep on hearing "why are so many people hurting themselves under fully functional canopies?" How about: "Why are so many highly current people hurting themselves under fully functional canopies?"
Simple really...The people who jump more, are exposed to the risk more. Add in that they are normally the ones pushing it more than the new guy and it all adds up.
But notice that the top jumpers who make 500-1000 a year are not the ones getting killed. So I think that all things being equal the hyper current jumper is safer.
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334
>are experienced jumpers rather than newbies?
If everyone makes 500 jumps a year, and "newbie" means under 100 jumps, and the typical career of a jumper lasts 20 years - then there will always be 100 times more experienced jumpers than newbies. So you'd expect experienced jumpers to be involved in incidents 100 times more often than newbies if everything else was equal. If they only got hurt 10 times as often, that would indicate experienced jumpers were much _safer_ (on a jump-by-jump basis) than newbies.
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