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lawrocket

Deficits nearly a trillion a yesr for the next decade

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http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090826/ap_on_go_pr_wh/us_obama_economy



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In a chilling forecast, the White House is predicting a 10-year federal deficit of $9 trillion — more than the sum of all previous deficits since America's founding. And it says by the next decade's end the national debt will equal three-quarters of the entire U.S. economy.



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The White House Office of Management and Budget indicated that the president will have to struggle to meet his vow of cutting the deficit in half in 2013 — a promise that earlier budget projections suggested he could accomplish with ease.

"This recession was simply worse than the information that we and other forecasters had back in last fall and early this winter," said Obama economic adviser Christina Romer.



White House budget office and by the Congressional Budget Office both agree that the national debt will double over the next decade.

Smart economics, there, pilgrim.

Hopefully, these projections will prove as accurate as climate projections - way on the high side. Still, government spending tends to grow ever higher.

Get a Republican Congress. Keep Obama for another 4 years. I believe only that will restore any degree of fiscal integrity or sanity.


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Get a Republican Congress. Keep Obama for another 4 years. I believe only that will restore any degree of fiscal integrity or sanity.

Sort of a federal constipation?

Don
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Tolerance is the cost we must pay for our adventure in liberty. (Dworkin, 1996)
“Education is not filling a bucket, but lighting a fire.” (Yeats)

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Get a Republican Congress. Keep Obama for another 4 years. I believe only that will restore any degree of fiscal integrity or sanity.

Sort of a federal constipation?

Don



Yep. Congress has no checks. The President hasn't checks (except Palin).

The same party running Congress and the Presidency is a recipe for fiscal disaster. A GOP POTUS and Dem Congress - we saw what good that did.

Clinton with a Dem Congress was a joke. Clinton with a GOP congress? Right on. Nearly balanced budgets. Tax cuts. Government shutdowns. It was awesome.


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What happened to the boom we were promised in 2001?




You mean the promise people bought with credit cards? Oh yeah, the statement just showed up in the mail box and now they have sticker shock.
If you find yourself in a fair fight, your tactics suck!

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Clinton with a Dem Congress was a joke. Clinton with a GOP congress? Right on. Nearly balanced budgets. Tax cuts. Government shutdowns. It was awesome.



Tax cuts? Did you miss the tax increases, the ones that contributed to the 'nearly balanced budgets?'

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What happened to the boom we were promised in 2001?




You mean the promise people bought with credit cards? Oh yeah, the statement just showed up in the mail box and now they have sticker shock.



Well, if you reduce your revenues without reducing your expenses, you have to live on credit. (Thank you, China).

Fact is, Voodoo economics hasn't worked.
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Clinton with a Dem Congress was a joke. Clinton with a GOP congress? Right on. Nearly balanced budgets. Tax cuts. Government shutdowns. It was awesome.



Tax cuts? Did you miss the tax increases, the ones that contributed to the 'nearly balanced budgets?'



The capital gains taxes that were lowered. This caused a surge in investment and associated revenues from increased employment, etc. Revenues can increase with a drop in the tax rates.

I agree with kallend, though. Spending cuts must be the top priority.

note - the big ball busters are Social Security and medicare. Page 18 is a doozy. http://www.gao.gov/cghome/d08446cg.pdf

Total major fiscal exposure of the US Government is $52.7 trillion. (of this, about $35 trillion is Medicare, and another $6 trillion for Social Security.) And total US household net worth in the US is $58.6 trillion.

In that same report (Page 27) the GAO said a balanced budget in 2040 would require doubling federal taxes and cutting spending by 60%. And it'd still take 30 years to balance it.


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In that same report (Page 27) the GAO said a balanced budget in 2040 would require doubling federal taxes and cutting spending by 60%. And it'd still take 30 years to balance it.



Why am I not surprised, given that we have been practising Voodoo Economics for most of the last 3 decades.
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My Economics professor considers Keynes to have been a fool, or that the one who would follow his ideas to this extent to be fools.

Investment in a society is one thing, but burying itself in the highest amount of debt that has ever been imagined by any country is another thing entirely.

It is as if Obamacles lost his nest egg and is willing to go down to the casino to win it back.

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In that same report (Page 27) the GAO said a balanced budget in 2040 would require doubling federal taxes and cutting spending by 60%. And it'd still take 30 years to balance it.



Why am I not surprised, given that we have been practising Voodoo Economics for most of the last 3 decades.




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John, this statement from you made me chuckle. You make this comment that sounds sarcastic and mocks the last 4 presidents for their spending. You are very educated and still support a president that will at least douple the national debt in less than half the time. shouldn't you mock the currant president and congress for being 2-3 times worse than the ones you are mocking?

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In that same report (Page 27) the GAO said a balanced budget in 2040 would require doubling federal taxes and cutting spending by 60%. And it'd still take 30 years to balance it.



Why am I not surprised, given that we have been practising Voodoo Economics for most of the last 3 decades.




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John, this statement from you made me chuckle. You make this comment that sounds sarcastic and mocks the last 4 presidents for their spending. You are very educated and still support a president that will at least douple the national debt in less than half the time. shouldn't you mock the currant president and congress for being 2-3 times worse than the ones you are mocking?



Most of the spending is systemic and has nothing whatsoever to do with Obama and his policies. The roots of the future deficits are deep and the seeds were planted decades ago. G.H.W. Bush was absolutely right when he called it "Voodoo Economics".

As a nation we have been living beyond our means for decades. And as a reminder, Reagan nearly TRIPLED the debt in only 8 years.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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In that same report (Page 27) the GAO said a balanced budget in 2040 would require doubling federal taxes and cutting spending by 60%. And it'd still take 30 years to balance it.



Why am I not surprised, given that we have been practising Voodoo Economics for most of the last 3 decades.




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John, this statement from you made me chuckle. You make this comment that sounds sarcastic and mocks the last 4 presidents for their spending. You are very educated and still support a president that will at least douple the national debt in less than half the time. shouldn't you mock the currant president and congress for being 2-3 times worse than the ones you are mocking?



Most of the spending is systemic and has nothing whatsoever to do with Obama and his policies. The roots of the future deficits are deep and the seeds were planted decades ago. G.H.W. Bush was absolutely right when he called it "Voodoo Economics".

As a nation we have been living beyond our means for decades. And as a reminder, Reagan nearly TRIPLED the debt in only 8 years.




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so you think Obama signing bills that will lead to a 9 trillion $ deficit is ok?

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so what is your answer?



Stop pretending that decreasing taxes works. The evidence of the past 30 years shows that it doesn't.



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who said anything about decreasing taxes? The question was, why would you support Obama if he is spending 2-3 times what the others spent and you didn't agree with their spending?

And beside it has been proven that lower taxes increased jobs and industry thus causing an increase of revenue.

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so what is your answer?



Stop pretending that decreasing taxes works. The evidence of the past 30 years shows that it doesn't.



Decreasing taxes without decreasing spending certainly doesn't, and you could make the argument that decreasing taxes w/o lowering spending isn't a true tax decrease, it's just a tax deferment.

Does decreasing spending and taxes work? I'm not sure it's ever been tried.

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And beside it has been proven that lower taxes increased jobs and industry thus causing an increase of revenue.

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True, IF and ONLY IF population growth and inflation are IGNORED.;)
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And beside it has been proven that lower taxes increased jobs and industry thus causing an increase of revenue.

[/reply

True, IF and ONLY IF population growth and inflation are IGNORED.;)


No. It actually works if and only if unemployment is high enough to create more jobs with the money not being used. Interestingly, not only do revenues increase, but outlays would decrease. But since things don't remain the same (we've got more money - LET'S SPEND IT!) the spending increases. And increases.

Kallend - did you know that in 2000, the federal budget was $1.8 trillion? The 2010 federal budget is $3.6 trillion.

Tell me how doubling spending in ten years is responsible for less than tax cuts.

The CBO estimates that federal revenes will be $2.4 trillion - and increase of 9% over last year. Spending will be increased by $500 billion over 2009 - about a 22% increase.

Yep. Lowering taxes is what caused this. Yessir.

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In 2000 the fedaral revenue was $2.03T
In 2008 the federal revenue was $2.52T
An increase of 24.1%

The CPI went from 515.8 (2000) to 644.4 (2008), a 24.8% increase

The population went from 281.4M (2000) to 303.5M (2008), a 7.8% increase.

In order just to keep up with inflation and population growth from 2000 to 2008 the federal revenues needed to be $2.57T in 2008. So the shortfall in revenues as adjusted was $50Billion.

As I said previously, when adjusted for inflation and population growth, federal revenues have actually declined since 2000.
...

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Most of the spending is systemic and has nothing whatsoever to do with Obama and his policies. The roots of the future deficits are deep and the seeds were planted decades ago.



Priceless. The further we get into his Presidency, the further back the blame goes.

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