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Do tax cuts for the rich lead to horrible economic times?

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Reagan cut taxes, roaring 80s ensues.
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The 80's were good? That's new to me!



They were good to some (mostly the already wealthy) and rotten to others. The 80s also led to a tripling of the national debt. IT'S EASY TO APPEAR WEALTHY IF YOU'RE LIVING OFF BORROWED MONEY.



Sure, but the title question here was: do tax cuts lead to horrible economic times. Pretty clear counter example. Democrats knock Reagan for the debt; they don't try to knock him for the economy, esp right after Carter. Fortunately Clinton managed to wipe that memory of the 'last Democratic' President.



Look at the graph, lower left:

[url]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Income_tax_in_the_United_States***

Right before the GD and the 1990 recession, deep cuts.

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Reagan cut taxes, roaring 80s ensues.
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The 80's were good? That's new to me!



They were good to some (mostly the already wealthy) and rotten to others. The 80s also led to a tripling of the national debt. IT'S EASY TO APPEAR WEALTHY IF YOU'RE LIVING OFF BORROWED MONEY.



Sure, but the title question here was: do tax cuts lead to horrible economic times. Pretty clear counter example. Democrats knock Reagan for the debt; they don't try to knock him for the economy, esp right after Carter. .



Except, as GHWB found, living off borrowed money comes back to haunt you in the end. There may be good times for a while, then there is payback time. We are learning that again, right now.



Yes and GHWB found that, he tried to fix it and was outed by his own party for it.

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IT'S EASY TO APPEAR WEALTHY IF YOU'RE LIVING OFF BORROWED MONEY.





It's funny you loved to rail on Bush for his spending but since President Obama is driving this train you seem ok with it. 1T$ health plan hsould be just another drop in the bucket.



The post-Keyneseans look pretty stupid right now. I guess I'm a Keynesean at heart.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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Bush cuts taxes, jacks spending, gets in two wars, economy rides roller coaster.



We'll just whitewash it all and call it a push.:S I would to if my party / ideology was primarily responsible for fucking it all up.


You're still falsely trying to attribute the wrong party to me.

Your thesis is that taxes are the key. Bush cut taxes in 01-02, during the dot-com bust. This would be the proper response per Keynesian economics. Then there was a ~3 year upward run (per your preferred metric, market indexes) in the middle, and then it collapsed at the end of his 8 years. I don't see tax cuts driving that either- the fiscal policy of low interest rates leading to easy credit looks far more significant in this downturn.

Let's get back to reality - the economic cycles continue to happen. And you'd seem less partisan if you accepted the 80s happened. No reasonable person can claim that things were better in 1980 than they were in 1988.

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Clinton:

- Received a 290B deficit in 92, left a 236 surplus

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...and at the rate he and those on the hill are spending.... taxes will have to go up even more.



So you are drawing a false connect between taxation and spending. Show me a recent president that spent more and taxed more too. Oh yea, you can't, so quit your false premise.



You use the budget deficit/surplus as a measure of economic health in one breath and jump down someone's throat when they suggest deficit spending is irresponsible in the next. Your stance on this is rather enigmatic.

Do you care if a president runs a deficit? Is it only okay as long as the rich are being taxed "enough" and the budget is primarily social programs? (i.e. a deficit you approve of?)

My goal would be to have a responsibly sized budget and a tax code that generates sufficient revenue to support it. Achieving this would probably involve a smaller military than we currently have, not having every social program you desire, and working to simplify the tax code (focus on closing loopholes) to help it generate the revenue it should be generating rather than simply turning the "progressiveness" knob up to 11 because it's "one more social, in'nt it?"

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I think it’s obvious that it does not work.

The space between the rich and middle class is getting bigger and bigger. CEO are making 300 times the average worker I believe that number was 30 times a few decades ago. Not to mention that the income for Middle class families the backbone of any economy has not increased compared to the top 10 percent.
Small business gets zero help and often have to fight giant corporation for every penny they make.

So no it doesn't work and will not work.

The reason capitalism works is because it depends on humane greed, same reason tax cuts for the rich don’t work.
I'd rather be hated for who I am, than loved for who I am not." - Kurt Cobain

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So please, please show me where he fucked it all up.




I don't claim he fucked it ALL up but NAFTA sure as hell hasn't helped us one bit.



Agreed, NAFTA was more of a Republican child than it was a Dem product, obvioulsy he signed it which sucks, but it was simply a corp tax cut/deregulation. The outflux of American jobs in North America didn't significantly change after NAFTA anyway, so it was a Republican initiated, Republican produced thru congress tax cut and deregulation.

But that would be 1 small area where Clinton fucked up, very miniscule.

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The reason capitalism works is because it depends on humane greed, same reason tax cuts for the rich don’t work.



Right, they get cuts and don't recirculate the money. Fair or not, the system works when money is mandatorily reecirculated. One caviate to paying taxes if you're really successful is to reinvest it on your own, use it as a writeoff and not be taxed. So either you reinvest it or the gov will reinvest it for you - that's the tax message.

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Clinton:

- Received a 290B deficit in 92, left a 236 surplus

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...and at the rate he and those on the hill are spending.... taxes will have to go up even more.



So you are drawing a false connect between taxation and spending. Show me a recent president that spent more and taxed more too. Oh yea, you can't, so quit your false premise.


You use the budget deficit/surplus as a measure of economic health in one breath and jump down someone's throat when they suggest deficit spending is irresponsible in the next. Your stance on this is rather enigmatic.

Do you care if a president runs a deficit? Is it only okay as long as the rich are being taxed "enough" and the budget is primarily social programs? (i.e. a deficit you approve of?)

My goal would be to have a responsibly sized budget and a tax code that generates sufficient revenue to support it. Achieving this would probably involve a smaller military than we currently have, not having every social program you desire, and working to simplify the tax code (focus on closing loopholes) to help it generate the revenue it should be generating rather than simply turning the "progressiveness" knob up to 11 because it's "one more social, in'nt it?"


+1 but he doesn't want to hear that which is why I said I give up.

He would rather tell you why Clinton was great and why Regan sucked even though I would say that while Reagan was in office the economy was pretty solid especially after the Carter years.

Do you think our government will ever get to this point? I don't and it's sad [:/]
Life is all about ass....either you're kicking it, kissing it, working it off, or trying to get a piece of it.
Muff Brother #4382 Dudeist Skydiver #000
www.fundraiseadventure.com

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again with the "party statements". It's obvious that you are one sied on everything and canot even attempt to see the other side of a debate.

oh and I'm having lunch which is why I came back and yup... more of the same.
Life is all about ass....either you're kicking it, kissing it, working it off, or trying to get a piece of it.
Muff Brother #4382 Dudeist Skydiver #000
www.fundraiseadventure.com

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Trickle on economics just doesn't work.
It only works if your average trust fund baby ie Paris Hilton utilizes those funds to reinvest in the US.
Which they usually don't. You give them $500k they go buy an exotic car made in Italy. Great for Italy not so good for Detroit. And if they are going to invest in blue collar odds are they will most likely invest it in a nice developing country where their RIO is greater than it would be if they invested here.
Now tax them and not allow them to hide their funds and use that tax money to hire a few dozen teachers and odds are that newly employed teacher may take their money and reinvest it in supporting the local economy.



Agreed. Trickle down economics is a big fat lie. Its a gift to the rich people that put Regan in power. When you give money to the rich, it is saved/invested 90 pct of the time. When you give it to the poor, they run out and spend it right away, stimulating the economy.

Unfortunately, globalization means that the poor run out and spend it at walmart, which turns around and sends half to rich corporate investors and the other half to china to buy more cheap plastic lead tainted crap. So we have a structural problem in our economy that fights the old tried and true method of stimulating real economic growth. Instead of that money circulating in the economy several times (multiplier effect) it immediately is removed from the economy (either by sending it to the rich or sending it to china to stimulate their economy).

IMHO it doesnt matter a lot any more. If you give money to the rich, the rich get richer and the little guy gets screwed. If you give money to the poor the rich get richer and the little guy gets screwed.

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what role do taxes play in that? Any, none, a lot, or?



I believe that your problem is in treating taxes as their own universe and not interrelated with other activities. For example, let's say you tax at 50% of incomes above $50k per year. (Al Gore himself said if a person makes $50k per year for 20 years that person has made a million dollars).

Now, what do you do with it? Is it simply removed from the economy? Or is it put back into the economy? If it is simply removed then the economy will suffer.

If it is put back, how it is put back into the economy is important. For example, is it put into the space program - which contracts with private manufacturers and keeps people employed? Or is it put into welfare programs, which keep people unemployed?

Tell me how much good is done for the economy when massive sums of money are directed to those who neither provide a service nor a product? It is interesting that the efficient running of society is contrary to this thought. Socialism is, after all, an economic system.

A prosperous and stable economy is one that is also efficient. The most efficient way that money can be spent and circulated is when individuals spend their money on what they want to spend it on. What do you spend money on? That's right - what is important to you. If I were to take a portion of your money and go out and buy what I think you should get, you'd likely be unsatisfied with the choices - especially if I took a cut for myself.

And this is what you look at doing - taking other peoples' money to spend it on what you think it should be spent on. And you particularly object when the government doesn't take as much.

I'd like it if you put your money where your mouth is. Donate it to the government and ask them to spend it for you.


My wife is hotter than your wife.

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what leads to horrible economic times is lack of financial responsability. when no one (from the government all the way down to the average joe) can live on a budget and spends borrowed money as if everything is okay as they increase thier spending, then eventually the house of cards falls and you have horrible economic times.
diamonds are a dawgs best friend

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what role do taxes play in that? Any, none, a lot, or?



I believe that your problem is in treating taxes as their own universe and not interrelated with other activities. For example, let's say you tax at 50% of incomes above $50k per year. (Al Gore himself said if a person makes $50k per year for 20 years that person has made a million dollars).

Now, what do you do with it? Is it simply removed from the economy? Or is it put back into the economy? If it is simply removed then the economy will suffer.

If it is put back, how it is put back into the economy is important. For example, is it put into the space program - which contracts with private manufacturers and keeps people employed? Or is it put into welfare programs, which keep people unemployed?



That's where your rhetoric makes a departure from reality.

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Tell me how much good is done for the economy when massive sums of money are directed to those who neither provide a service nor a product?



They spend the money on goods and services, pumping the money back into the economy.

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The most efficient way that money can be spent and circulated is when individuals spend their money on what they want to spend it on.



That's only true if everyone has perfect information and everyone behaves rationally. Neither is true in reality.
Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

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Or is it put into welfare programs, which keep people unemployed?



That's where your rhetoric makes a departure from reality.



What people are employed with welfare programs? Oh yes. The government. What about those who are unemployed? Welfare programs are not for them?

Okay. How about saying for "people who are not employed." Or "those who are underemployed."

Does welfare produce economic benefit and efficiency? I'd suggest that the multi-trillion War on Poverty over the last 40 years has been a colossal money pit. We know this because poverty is so fucking high.

Meaning that you cannot end poverty by throwing money at it. Thus, this money has gone for something that hasn't worked. And has, in fact, (yes "fact") helped to cement the problem.


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Tell me how much good is done for the economy when massive sums of money are directed to those who neither provide a service nor a product?



They spend the money on goods and services, pumping the money back into the economy.



Which is what would be done with it anyway! Only now the money has a big amount taken off the top by the government and it is spent on other things.

As I wrote, I can take your money and spend it for you. Then I'll say that I am pumping money back into the economy. You'd say, "I was doing that already!". And I could reply, "but you were doing it wisely. Oh, and I'm paying myself out of it, too."


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The most efficient way that money can be spent and circulated is when individuals spend their money on what they want to spend it on.



That's only true if everyone has perfect information and everyone behaves rationally. Neither is true in reality.



Which is the same for every other method. The difference is this: I can come closest to perfect information of my needs and desires. You can't. Nobody else can. Thus, you may find it better to buy my groceries for me - having no idea what I want.

So, if the government has both perfect knowledge of the market AND perfect knowledge of the preferences of the individual, then you may be on to something. Since the government and everyone else is 0/2 and I am 1/2 with me, then I'd think that I am more a more efficient determinant of how my money is spent.


My wife is hotter than your wife.

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Or is it put into welfare programs, which keep people unemployed?



That's where your rhetoric makes a departure from reality.



What people are employed with welfare programs?



Perhaps you should look up the definition of keep, counselor.

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How about saying for "people who are not employed." Or "those who are underemployed."



That would be a much more accurate choice of words, with different meaning than your initial selection.

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Does welfare produce economic benefit …



Yes.

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… and efficiency?



Is efficiency something that is produced?

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Meaning that you cannot end poverty by throwing money at it. Thus, this money has gone for something that hasn't worked. And has, in fact, (yes "fact") helped to cement the problem.



An assertion for which I am sure you have credible evidence, yes?

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Which is what would be done with it anyway!



Not necessarily. Much of it may have otherwise been saved, which reduces the amount of money being spent in the economy. Money flows from poor to rich. For maximum economic benefit, money should be given to the poor, who will spend all of it, as opposed to given to the rich, who may spend part of it.


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Which is the same for every other method.



Not true. The government has much more information than individuals tend to have. Rational behavior, while not assured, is more likely than with most individuals.

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So, if the government has both perfect knowledge of the market AND perfect knowledge of the preferences of the individual, …



Nice strawman.
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Much of it may have otherwise been saved, which reduces the amount of money being spent in the economy. Money flows from poor to rich. For maximum economic benefit, money should be given to the poor, who will spend all of it, as opposed to given to the rich, who may spend part of it.



Why does money flow from poor to rich? If the poor spend all the money they are given in what ways will it help them? In what form do rich people "save" their money, and why does this result in a negative impact on the economy as a whole?

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Much of it may have otherwise been saved, which reduces the amount of money being spent in the economy. Money flows from poor to rich. For maximum economic benefit, money should be given to the poor, who will spend all of it, as opposed to given to the rich, who may spend part of it.



Why does money flow from poor to rich? If the poor spend all the money they are given in what ways will it help them? In what form do rich people "save" their money, and why does this result in a negative impact on the economy as a whole?



When money is saved, it is subject to reserve requirements. That means that part of it is removed from the economy. When money is spent, it is all returned to the economy.

It's why trickle down economics doesn't work.
Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

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Or is it put into welfare programs, which keep people unemployed?



That's where your rhetoric makes a departure from reality.



What people are employed with welfare programs? Oh yes. The government.



The spending by the city of San Francisco for the homeless is astounding: roughly 200M$. If you divided the number of homeless by this amount, they'd all be living large, but a huge portion is paying the dogooders within the government. It certainly isn't successful with eliminating the problem.

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What people are employed with welfare programs?



Perhaps you should look up the definition of keep, counselor.

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How about saying for "people who are not employed." Or "those who are underemployed."



That would be a much more accurate choice of words, with different meaning than your initial selection.



I don't know about where you come from - though you have mentioned your background in the past. Compared to me, you grew up wealthy.

In the event that you think "welfare queen" is just another right-wing pejorative, I would suggest that there are plenty of them whose job is to collect welfare and live in public or subsidized housing.

A job would result in LESS money to them. Give a guy a safety net and he'll take chances and get off. Give a guy a hammock and he'll idle on it.

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… and efficiency?



Is efficiency something that is produced?



Yes. That's why we have professions like engineers - people whose job it is to MAKE something more efficient. In the economy, though, the rules of physucs don't necessarily apply. I.e., as much as I hate entertainment rags, others like them. Those who watch the shows view it as an efficient use of their time.

Because people's wants and needs are subjective. Despite your subjective wishes, objective better does not necessarily exist.

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Meaning that you cannot end poverty by throwing money at it. Thus, this money has gone for something that hasn't worked. And has, in fact, (yes "fact") helped to cement the problem.



An assertion for which I am sure you have credible evidence, yes?



Sure. Google poverty rate in the United States. Go historical on it. See whether the raw numbers have increased. If the War on Poverty worked we'd have no horror stories about the need for health finance reform.

I'm saying poverty is still there. What the Progressives did has not worked. Period. I can prove that poverty still exists on a large scale. And I can show you that where the welfare money went in the 1970's is the same place it went in the 80's and 90's.

Because throwing money at poverty merely feeds it.


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Which is what would be done with it anyway!



Not necessarily. Much of it may have otherwise been saved, which reduces the amount of money being spent in the economy. Money flows from poor to rich. For maximum economic benefit, money should be given to the poor, who will spend all of it, as opposed to given to the rich, who may spend part of it.



I hate to be the one to break this to you, but only the poor do not put their money in banks. You won't find a million dollars under a ricj guy's mattress.

The wealthy put their money in banks. Or they invest their money. That money is then circulated through the economy. Put ten grand into a CD? Yep. You are loaning money to the bank. It then loans to others.

Keeping your money in the bank is probably the BEST way to keep the economy humming. Recall that the Depression really kicked off with runs on the bank. Masses of people sought to withdraw their accounts so they could have cash. Then the economy stagnated because people wouldn't spend.

So the gubment decided to pump loads of money into the economy - hoping to spend our way out of a recession. This turned what I think would have otherwise been a powerful recession into a Great Depression.

The goverment would just let a recovery happen. I keep feeding my son vitamins and protein. I wanted him to be 5 feet tall before he was five.

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Which is the same for every other method.



Not true. The government has much more information than individuals tend to have.
Not perfect knowledge. The government will spend $300 on a hammer. Great market knowledge.


[Reply] Rational behavior, while not assured, is more likely than with most individuals.



Bullshit. Take about ten years solid to read the Federal Register. Did you know that there are specifications for MSDS for bricks? Sure - a whole lotta knowledge there.

Too fucking much information can be a problem. Did you know that our treasury secretary cannot figure out how to do taxes correctly? Too much information.



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So, if the government has both perfect knowledge of the market AND perfect knowledge of the preferences of the individual, …



Nice strawman.



Hence your view of people. Individuals are strawmen, eh? Individual preferences shall not happen but shall be dictated. By whom? By you?

You favor a government that would give Cheney and Bush control over how you are treated. I don't.

I favor a government that will not punish me if I succeed nor reward me for failure.

Don't call me a strawman. Your feelings do not dictate my subjective preferences. Nor can I dictate yours.


My wife is hotter than your wife.