Who will replace Biden?

[SkyDekker 1,465]

3 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

Ask the question more precisely, 

You still haven't presented data that shows a married couple outperforms an unmarried couple.

[brenthutch 444]

1 minute ago, SkyDekker said:

You still haven't presented data that shows a married couple outperforms an unmarried couple.

Define unmarried couple and define your parameters of performance.

[SkyDekker 1,465]

12 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

Define unmarried couple and define your parameters of performance.

You are claiming a married couple is better, so shouldn't you have already done all that defining? Usually that is how it works when you make claims. Not covered in the MBA I take it?

 

So far this is what you have presented as evidence that married couples are better than unmarried couples:

" Some evidence indicates that school achievement and behavioral problems are similar among children living with both biological parents—regardless of marital status—and that children in both formal and informal step-families also fare similarly in these areas."

Could do with a facepalm emoji here.....

Edited July 10, 2024 by SkyDekker

[BIGUN 1,395]

6 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

Define unmarried couple and define your parameters of performance.

What is that; the Tango or the Foxtrot? If you read the information, article and/or author I posted earlier, you would know - Let me do it for you. It matters not what tribe they belong to - the performance/result measures are the same. 

Edited July 10, 2024 by BIGUN

[brenthutch 444]

13 minutes ago, SkyDekker said:

You are claiming a married couple is better, so shouldn't you have already done all that defining? Usually that is how it works when you make claims. Not covered in the MBA I take it?

1. Family stability is important for childhood outcomes. All else equal, children raised in stable families are healthier, better educated, and more likely to avoid poverty than those who experience transitions in family structure.¹

2. Married parents are more likely to stay together than cohabiting ones. In fact, two-thirds of cohabiting parents split up before their child reaches age 12, compared with one quarter of married parents

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/cohabiting-parents-differ-from-married-ones-in-three-big-ways/

[JoeWeber 2,808]

Just now, brenthutch said:

First we have to acknowledge what the data says. The married two parent household is the ideal model for child rearing and that fatherless children especially boys are more likely to drop out of school, make less money and are more likely to engage in criminal activity. And let’s stop celebrating the failure to achieve that ideal. 

Fine. Now again, how would you fix it? Forced marriage?  Daddy’s wear ankle monitors? Who pays for it all?

[JerryBaumchen 1,422]

Mods,

Could you move these posts about family to a new thread.  These have nothing to do with Who Will Replace Joe Biden?

Thanks,

Jerry Baumchen

[JerryBaumchen 1,422]

Hi folks,

I thought that the Joe Biden/Geo S/ABCNews interview was a disaster for Biden.

Looks like Joe is going for Interview 2.0:  NBC’s Lester Holt to interview President Biden on Monday (msn.com)

He's probably thinking that, eventually, one of them will go positive for him.

Jerry Baumchen

[SkyDekker 1,465]

1 hour ago, brenthutch said:

 

1. Family stability is important for childhood outcomes. All else equal, children raised in stable families are healthier, better educated, and more likely to avoid poverty than those who experience transitions in family structure.¹

2. Married parents are more likely to stay together than cohabiting ones. In fact, two-thirds of cohabiting parents split up before their child reaches age 12, compared with one quarter of married parents

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/cohabiting-parents-differ-from-married-ones-in-three-big-ways/

Staying together and stable aren't the same.

 

You have a basic grasp of English yes?

[brenthutch 444]

25 minutes ago, SkyDekker said:

Staying together and stable aren't the same.

 

You have a basic grasp of English yes?

Tell that to the think tank that did the study.
 

You get bitter when you are wrong. When you have to resort to word parsing and personal attacks instead of strengthening your argument you are losing. You must of had an unhappy childhood with married parents who didn’t get along.

Edited July 10, 2024 by brenthutch

[billvon 3,058]

17 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

Quote

You have a basic grasp of English yes?

 You must of had an unhappy childhood with married parents who didn’t get along.

Both of you - cut it out.

[JerryBaumchen 1,422]

Hi folks,

Just the other day, Rep. Blumenauer [ D-OR ] said that he supported Biden in his re-election campaign; today:  It is a painful and difficult conclusion but there is no question in my mind that we will all be better served if the president steps aside as the Democratic nominee and manages a transition under his term

Blumenauer calls for Biden to withdraw from the presidential race (msn.com)

Earl Blumenauer is considered the 'Dean' of the Oregon folks in the US legislature.

I expect more of this as each day passes.

Jerry Baumchen

 

 

[JerryBaumchen 1,422]

Hi folks,

During Watergate the truth slowly, oh, so slowly came out.

Looks like it might happening again:  KJP Admits She Was Wrong About Biden's Neurology Visit, Tells Media What's Really Going On - 'Hold on a Second' (msn.com)

Maybe this will be his gracious way out of the race. 

He sure as hell has been acting physically strange, lately.

Jerry Baumchen

[brenthutch 444]

7 hours ago, JerryBaumchen said:

Hi folks,

During Watergate the truth slowly, oh, so slowly came out.

Looks like it might happening again:  KJP Admits She Was Wrong About Biden's Neurology Visit, Tells Media What's Really Going On - 'Hold on a Second' (msn.com)

Maybe this will be his gracious way out of the race. 

He sure as hell has been acting physically strange, lately.

Jerry Baumchen

Lately? You just haven’t been paying attention 
https://www.c-span.org/video/?c4858341/user-clip-thing

 

[Phil1111 1,149]

1 hour ago, brenthutch said:

Lately? You just haven’t been paying attention 
https://www.c-span.org/video/?c4858341/user-clip-thing

 

Biden could nod off or tune out during important discussions and debate. But since he surrounds himself with intelligent council that has its loyalty to the constitution of the US. Admittedly a flawed constitution. Good decisions would still be the result.

Trump could zone out in his mind, wondering how many Big Macs he should have for breakfast for example. His yes men hacks might take his ramblings to mean anything. Since all of the moderates have been driven out of the GOP. What wackball (2025) policies are you dreaming about come Jan 20th? Trump firing the entire IRS?

Edited July 11, 2024 by Phil1111

[brenthutch 444]

35 minutes ago, Phil1111 said:

Biden could nod off or tune out during important discussions and debate. But since he surrounds himself with intelligent council that has its loyalty to the constitution of the US. Admittedly a flawed constitution. But good decisions would still be the result.

Trump could zone out in his mind, wondering how many Big Macs he should have for breakfast for example. His yes men hacks might take his ramblings to mean anything. Since all of the moderates have been driven out of the GOP. What wackball (2025) policies are you dreaming about come Jan 20th? Trump firing the entire IRS?

No but abolishing the DoE and block granting their 52 billion dollar budget back to the states to support schools in lower income areas would be a good start. 

Edited July 11, 2024 by brenthutch

[normiss 843]

38 minutes ago, Phil1111 said:

Biden could nod off or tune out during important discussions and debate. But since he surrounds himself with intelligent council that has its loyalty to the constitution of the US. Admittedly a flawed constitution. Good decisions would still be the result.

Trump could zone out in his mind, wondering how many Big Macs he should have for breakfast for example. His yes men hacks might take his ramblings to mean anything. Since all of the moderates have been driven out of the GOP. What wackball (2025) policies are you dreaming about come Jan 20th? Trump firing the entire IRS?

And sleep right through his 34 felony convictions.

More of those to come soon.

We cannot allow The Rapist in Chief back in DC.

Instant destabilization of the world when Trump and Putin dissolve NATO.

[Phil1111 1,149]

43 minutes ago, normiss said:

And sleep right through his 34 felony convictions.

More of those to come soon.

We cannot allow The Rapist in Chief back in DC.

Instant destabilization of the world when Trump and Putin dissolve NATO.

Jerry is right to be concerned about a Trump win. Some NATO members are already holding back normally shared intelligence from the US. Worry about a Trump administration and what leakage of that intelligence is driving the new silence.

[normiss 843]

Nations helping each other, open communications between them. Blocking Russian attempts to destabilize.

This is but one of many reasons we CANNOT let the Rapist in Chief Felon back in DC.

[SkyDekker 1,465]

3 hours ago, brenthutch said:

No but abolishing the DoE and block granting their 52 billion dollar budget back to the states to support schools in lower income areas would be a good start. 

Why do you think States would spend that money on lower income area schools? They would just institute a voucher program and funnel it to private schools...at least the GOP sates would

[JoeWeber 2,808]

As BIGUN so aptly observed, I'd be happy to vote for a potato on a stick over Trump. The joy there is that we then would need only 83 million more potato lovers to win. We just might have them, still, in spite of George Clooney. Yes, Biden is old, frail, and is scaring the holy crap out of we who are totally freaked out about Trump ver. 2. But that does not mean it's beyond the realm of possibility that he can win. The world is far from out of outlier events. Just as the USSC put their honey dipped thumbs on the scale maybe the Fed takes a turn and pops out saying Bidenomics is working, inflation is now on a down trajectory so we're dropping interest rates .5% and expect another cut this year. Add that to the media waking up to the fact that it's Trumps meandering, disjointed, dangerous blathering that needs exposure and who knows? 

[gowlerk 2,245]

21 minutes ago, JoeWeber said:

maybe the Fed takes a turn and pops out saying Bidenomics is working, inflation is now on a down trajectory so we're dropping interest rates .5% and expect another cut this year.

Or more likely it becomes clear by fall that the US has fallen into a recession.

[JoeWeber 2,808]

Just now, gowlerk said:

Or more likely it becomes clear by fall that the US has fallen into a recession.

Or maybe we get hit by an asteroid, also an outlier event. But now you have me curious, what expertise or insight do you have that allows you to claim the likelihood? Other than the constant chatter about any and everything by anybody with a keyboard or microphone I've heard nothing serious.

[JerryBaumchen 1,422]

56 minutes ago, JoeWeber said:

 we who are totally freaked out about Trump ver. 2. 

Hi Joe,

If I were Zelensky, I would have a dozen or so of my best on their way to the US now.  They can buy what they would need here.

Jerry Baumchen

 

[gowlerk 2,245]

25 minutes ago, JoeWeber said:

Or maybe we get hit by an asteroid, also an outlier event. But now you have me curious, what expertise or insight do you have that allows you to claim the likelihood? Other than the constant chatter about any and everything by anybody with a keyboard or microphone I've heard nothing serious.

Mostly the consumer confidence numbers being reported and the slowdown in hiring. Spending is slowing the last time I checked. However if it does come it may not be until after the election.