olofscience

I would also like to know what this is.

Thanks. For additional clarification, correct me if I'm wrong, but are you hoping for the following: Trump will heavily restrict immigration, causing house prices to drop infrastructure (roads, etc) to be relieved salaries to grow Trump will appoint Elon Musk to make the government more efficient by firing 70+% of government workers freeing up more funds for... (ok you'll have to fill me in here as I don't know what things you want funded) Trump will slap tariffs on goods from China and the rest of the world causing a renaissance in US manufacturing, therefore more jobs It's good to want better things for places like Santa Monica, but we disagree on how to solve it. But it's a complex system so I'm gathering data to check what works and what doesn't.

Sorry to hear about the issues in your town. Could you share the name of the town? I'd like to check again in 4 years if anything improves for it.

Millions of people have connected those dots. But are they the right dots? You've stopped looking.

Agreed on your post except for this last sentence. I hope I'm wrong though.

This is basically expected - with other countries electing rightwing populists like Geert Wilders, Milei, Duterte, Orban, etc. Labour winning here in the UK is a fluke - the UK isn't going left, it's just the right was divided between two parties. I am under no illusions that this rightwing march will continue, globally. So why is this happening? Basically, most people are unhappy for a mix of reasons, and they feel that there's something wrong with the system, but can't quite pinpoint what it is. They also somehow feel that it was better in the past - and in some ways they would be right! So they vote for the craziest outsider who tries to simplify the problem (e.g. immigration, wokeism, drugs). If that doesn't work, they throw them out and vote for the next person promising a solution. Duterte was elected in 2016, and he blamed all his country's problems on drugs. It's a simple problem, he said. He promised to "solve the country's problems within 6 months" of getting elected. Upon election, he then embarked on a massacre of 30,000 people. This was back in 2016. No points for guessing whether this worked (it didn't). For western countries it's immigration. True, unemployment is pretty low. But those jobs don't pay well, and people are unhappy with those jobs. It feels right to blame immigrants for creaking infrastructure (too many people) and high house prices (too much demand, not enough supply). Not enough money for infrastructure and services (we're spending too much on immigrants' welfare!) On the surface this explanation sounds right and rightwing people don't look any further. Leftwing people mostly don't either - we just try to "disprove" the talking points like how immigrants help the economy, etc. But we don't offer an alternative explanation of the causes of the problems. But the rightwing people aren't lying about their unhappiness - jobs don't pay well. Infrastructure IS overwhelmed. House prices are WAY too high. But they've missed the actual root cause. In any case, I'm not going to discuss the actual root causes right now. But I'm going to make a prediction - 4 years from now, the rightwing people will be as unhappy as ever. They'll get some dopamine hits from "owning the libs", but they won't be happy, and their problems won't be solved with 4 more years of Trump. No matter what problems come in the next 4 years, Brent for example will blame the left for either causing it, or "allowing" it to happen. The right won't take responsibility for any problems that will happen, because despite being in control, they don't feel in control. And they don't feel in control because despite what they say, they don't really know the root cause of the problems. Only understanding will stop the fear.

Sorry, you were ranting so much that I didn't realise that was your answer to my question. Which still sits within my predictions anyway (of being utterly ridiculous). Still, you've failed to explain what your criteria was, what is the reasoning behind those "not a nothingburger" examples? And no, "because some lib said it" is not really a valid answer.

Reading comprehension fail. I asked for an example of what would count as something. As well as your criteria. But, I did predict your non-response correctly after all.

I know I either won't get an answer to this or a completely ridiculous one, but I want to narrow it down. What's your criteria for something to happen? Could you give an example?

Brent sets the goalpost, then moves it when it turns out that he's wrong (again), then declares victory and pats himself on the back. He'll even keep doing that to an empty room, like how Trump waves to nonexistent audiences.

Yet you were criticising Europe for not fracking and getting dependent on Russian gas...

Yeah because according to Trump, global warming is fake, the real threat is "nuclear warming". I'm sure Brent agrees...with whatever that is.

Quick goalpost change there - nobody predicted "quick starts to hurricane season" because of climate change. The predictions were more frequent and stronger/more destructive hurricanes due to high sea surface temperatures. You cherry-picking a number from Michael Mann is yet another goalpost change (and strawman argument since none of us made that prediction here).

Brent just racking up those L's huh.

One thing I can be sure of, is that @brenthutch won't be anywhere near these things, nor will he have any of his airborne-vet courage to tell people actually affected, to their face, that this is a below-average season. Oh and given how republicans are so "independent" and pro "small government" why are they asking for so much government help in the aftermath in NC?

Reading has never been his strong point.

Even better How about we check again in 4 years - the end of the next term? Will you still be alive by then?

This has "2023 won't even be in the top five (warmest years)" kind of prediction vibe to me. How much are you willing to back this "prediction" up with?

and then If the government already spent the money, then there's nothing more to "gobble up". Because if there is, then all the money HASN'T been spent yet. So get it straight - has all the money already been spent (past tense), or are you just lying again?

That's not how proof works. The burden of proof is on YOU.

You mean YOU, not "we", while keeping your eyes firmly closed. Unless you personally, directly feel an impact, you'll keep denying that anything is happening. Lucky you live in PA eh? Meanwhile even Switzerland and Italy have to redraw their border because of melting glaciers. But you're not smart enough to realise that you're already feeling some of the impact indirectly - some of that inflation that you're so desperate to blame on Biden is due to the impact of climate change, but you'll never, ever admit it. Do you like coffee? Just tell those coffee trees to move right? As well as hundreds of other things in your everyday life that you don't have the ability to think deeply about. But then again, you can barely add or subtract, so it's definitely not out of character.

I doubt that you'll manage to quote enough of other people's posts to prove what you said though.

Not only is he lying, he's also glitching - reposting the exact same comment 10 hours later. Either senior moment or he's actually a bot...

Again you're ignoring that the rest of the world exists and we got COVID vaccines here even earlier than the USA did. And we experienced similar - and slightly higher - inflation than the USA did.

Yeah look at what happened to inflation in the UK and EU when the Ds took over...they've also taken over your brain, right Brent? Could you point to the parts in the graph where the Ds touched you?